A decade on from the Busan conference and the global aid landscape has continued to fragment at pace. Among the most impacted regions is the Pacific, where donor congestion has reached unprecedented levels.
Since 2011 the number of bilateral aid partners operating in Pacific countries has doubled while the total volume of inflation-adjusted aid has only increased marginally. At the country level, there are on average twice as many projects per thousand people. In short, the Pacific is seeing vastly more donors delivering a similar total quantity of aid in thinner slices.
Fragmentation matters because each aid relationship, regardless of size, imparts some administrative burden on the recipient country. Aid projects come with high fixed costs, so one-off or very small projects are typically less efficient. For a region dependent on aid and with low administrative capacity, this creates a toxic mix.
The Pacific has seen the “long tail” of aid flows – the number of lower volume, lower impact aid relationships – grow substantially since 2008. Pacific Aid Map data shows that the number of small donors that in total make up less than 5% of aid has more than doubled across the region. For example, in 2008 Fiji had five donors running programs totalling less than $400,000 annually. By 2019, it had 20 such donors.
Of the donors making up this long tail, many are new entrants to the region. A majority are European – of the Pacific’s 20 most light-weight donors, 17 are from Europe. Most are major donors globally and all are signatories to various reform agendas promising to reduce fragmented and burdensome aid.
Motivations for these new entrants are mixed. Some engage on humanitarian grounds, others as part of diplomatic missions or as part of loosely defined Indo-Pacific strategies. For many, the reasons are purely cynical. Aid-for-vote deals that coincide with United Nations deliberations are a common in the region. Few engage in the types of well-designed and consistent aid programming most likely to drive results.