Despite reassurance from the Quad members that they are not merely paying lip service to the idea of ASEAN centrality, Southeast Asian nations remain suspicious of concepts premised on exclusive cooperation. Additionally, the formation of AUKUS, linking Australia, the United Kingdom and United States, further key proponents of the Indo-Pacific idea, has exposed fissures among ASEAN members. This has compounded existing disunity on issues such as the South China Sea or the crisis in Myanmar.
Due to limitations in its decision-making mechanisms, coupled with its preference for maintaining equidistance from major poles of influence, ASEAN seeks to stand apart from great power rivalry. For ASEAN, the Asia-Pacific and the Indo-Pacific represent two complementary zones and it is not ready to commit entirely to one in place of the other.
But, as the old wisdom has it, money talks. Notwithstanding efforts by the United States to strengthen economic partnerships among the member countries of the Indo-Pacific region, one of the most fundamental differences between the Asia-Pacific and the Indo-Pacific is that the former is primarily an economic conception, whereas the latter encompasses broader strategic and geopolitical considerations.
The economic dimension of the Asia-Pacific has not yet been replicated by the Indo-Pacific.
For example, frameworks such as APEC and the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership, which were primarily based on the principle of ASEAN centrality, seek to increase access to new markets by promoting economic integration and reducing tariffs. APEC is a good illustration of open regionalism.
The Indo-Pacific Economic Framework (IPEF), meantime, lacks concrete commitments from the United States to provide greater access to its market. IPEF involves closed regionalism based on the logic of bloc diplomacy and exclusivity. As IPEF is not a conventional free trade agreement, it has limitations in enticing its partners and securing binding commitments.
This limits the imagination. The Indo-Pacific idea is at once exclusive yet is wrapped up in the language of a free and open region that fosters cooperation. To become an effective bloc, its economic frameworks must reflect these values by embracing inclusivity rather than being directed against any major power.
The tendency to view the Indo-Pacific and the Asia-Pacific through a competitive lens, with dominant powers promoting a preferred conception and downplaying that of rivals, will continue to bedevil the adoption of one or the other. The imagination and re-imagination of the Indian Ocean and Pacific Ocean region will persist and the risk is countries failing to imagine a future together.