Why this sudden volte-face? One could plausibly highlight the double standards reflected in the stance adopted by the United States, including accountability for atrocities committed during the 2003 invasion of Iraq. This is difficult to deny. But Graham, Heusgen and Sunak’s concerns also highlight other perceived threats – ones that go to the very heart of the international order and the UN system.
First, delegates at the Munich Security Conference wished to put senior leaders in Putin’s regime on notice: if you commit atrocity crimes you will be held to account. Delegates were keen to highlight options for accountability, and like the Moscow and London conferences they include international and national criminal courts. They were also keen to alert the Putin regime to a commitment to the collection of evidence, which the ICC and EuroJust, among others, have already started, including linking those most responsible to the underlying crimes.
Second, Ukraine gave up its nuclear weapons in return for full sovereignty. Yet the fact that Russia has orchestrated a full-scale invasion as a nuclear state makes it increasingly difficult for other states to reconcile relinquishing a nuclear weapons program in the future, including Iran.
Third, delegates wish to send a message to other leaders flirting with the notion of invading a nearby country, including China’s leader Xi Jinping. The message is that the costs for impunity will be high and that accountability for government, military and industrial leaders, including at the highest level, for crimes of aggression, war crimes and crimes against humanity is assured.
Like the 1940s conferences in Moscow and London, the Munich Security Conference signals a new era – one where accountability is directly linked to the stability of the international order.
All views expressed are those of the author.