Russia is ogling opportunities in Southeast Asia. Indonesian President Prabowo Subianto, having visited Russia as defence minister and as president-elect, has paid his third visit to Putin in less than a year, prioritising the St Petersburg International Economic Forum over the G7 Summit in Canada. This has enlivened prospects for bilateral cooperation in diverse areas, including a spaceport and civilian nuclear reactors for Indonesia, and the establishment of a multi-billion-dollar joint investment fund.
In January, Indonesia became a full member of the BRICS grouping, which Moscow and Beijing promote as a counter to US-dominated structures. Malaysia, Thailand, and Vietnam are aspirant BRICS members.
It is a fair bet that, even were the war in Ukraine to end soon, Russia's militarised economy would not revert to making washing machines but instead seek export markets in our region.
Despite the turbulence emanating from Washington, Australia’s strategic interests remain centred on and served by our alliance with the United States. It is not feasible to unpick decades of shared experience, deep interoperability, and common platforms, weapons systems, and technologies. Yet even as we again argue to Washington that we make a serious and proportional defence contribution, we must leverage additional partnerships in pursuit of burden-sharing, economies of scale, and increasing our industrial redundancy and resilience in anticipation of heightened tension or conflict.
Europe has much to offer, not only thanks to its new investments in defence spending and national security, but because of its determination to be a genuine strategic actor globally. Moreover, Europe already is heavily engaged in our region, including as the third-largest aid provider (after ourselves and Japan), and the largest dispenser of development assistance globally.
Several European firms are Australian defence primes, notably Thales, Rheinmetall, Kongsberg, and SAAB. The EU became a strategic partner of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) in 2020 and launched its EU Strategy for Cooperation in the Indo-Pacific in 2021. The EU signed security and defence partnerships with Japan and South Korea in 2024 – the first with partners outside Europe. Australia now is negotiating its own with Brussels.