In 2016, Hun Sen began dismantling the main opposition CNRP and initiated legal cases against numerous opposition figures, triggering the exile of Sam Rainsy and others. Another controversial electoral victory in 2018 not only confirmed the leader’s firm grip but effectively ensured the pro-democracy generation of the 2010s is nullified just in time for what may be his final electoral campaign/win next year.
Across three decades of Hun Sen’s rule, the electoral process in Cambodia appears to have been a means of identifying subsequent generations of opposition leaders to be silenced during the next five year cycle, until the process starts again.
But perhaps this time, Hun Sen might have bitten off more than he can chew. Theary Seng is a US citizen – which obliges the US government to act on her case under a range of US laws. “Charging Theary with these crimes was a huge mistake by Hun Sen,” Jared Genser said. “We will be taking her case to the UN Working Group on Arbitrary Detention.” He says he and Theary’s supporters have already engaged “senior staff at the White House and State Department”.
The Cambodian leader has been busily working to sweeten ties with China in an attempt to balance souring relations with the United States and the European Union since the wave of crackdowns started in 2016.
Genser also highlighted the Cambodia Democracy Act of 2021, which passed the US House of Representatives last September, and which, he says, “provides a number of new tools to apply pressure on Cambodia”. These include targeted sanctions on government officials in Cambodia deemed to be inimical to democracy in the country. “We will be working hard to get that Bill passed by the US Senate.”
The Cambodian leader has been busily working to sweeten ties with China in an attempt to balance souring relations with the United States and the European Union since the wave of crackdowns started in 2016. Of Cambodia’s US$8.8 billion in foreign debt in 2020, China accounted for $US3.9 billion, or 44 per cent. A 2022 report quoting the Cambodian transport minister says that 70 per cent of the country’s roads and bridges have been funded by Beijing.
Upgrades to the Ream Naval Base on the southern coast of Cambodia have been funded by Chinese aid money and despite numerous statements from both Phnom Penh and Beijing attempting to deny it, many consider this to be a foothold for the Chinese military in the region.
But Cambodia also needs the United States, especially for its garment exports. Trade between the two countries increased to $US9 billion in 2021. The preferential trade agreement between the United States and Cambodia is currently lapsed.
Theary Seng’s case complicates relations. While Hun Sen and his supporters hold all the levers of power, indefatigable pro-democracy activists ensure Cambodians are constantly reminded of what a free nation might look like.
JJ Rose