As a result of the testing in the 1940s and 1950s, radioactive waste, soil and ordnance remain scattered around the islands. On Runit Island, the US government, seeking to face down claims they had simply “bombed and left” buried some 3.1 million cubic metres of irradiated waste in a massive hole created for the purpose. The hole has been concreted over leaving a vast dome that is both an eyesore and an unsustainable solution according to experts, as it is leaking waste into the surrounding oceanic environment.
Another US waste dump on Enewetak has even been used for contaminated materials from the US testing site in Nevada, according to a 2019 LA Times investigation.
This month, the United Nations Human Rights Council adopted a ground-breaking resolution to provide “technical assistance and capacity building to address the human rights implications of the nuclear legacy in the Marshall Islands”. The announcement results from the Marshall Islanders’ efforts over the last three years during its first membership period on the council. The outcome puts added pressure on the future of talks as it jabs the United States (even though its role was not directly mentioned in the UNHRC statement) as well as giving the Marshallese an elevated level from which to highlight their cause.
The Marshall Islands government has already cancelled one round of talks that were set for September, claiming, according to a media report, “the lack of response from Washington on the country's US nuclear weapons testing legacy meant there was no reason to meet”.
Other more contemporaneous issues related to poverty and climate change are also pressing in the talks and it is probable that various issues in the mix will be used by the Marshallese to leverage outcomes in their favour.
While few expect the COFA to collapse, the possibility is surely generating anxiety in Washington as anything less than a firm continuance of the existing arrangement would clearly provide a US-shaped hole through which Beijing would feel compelled to try and enter. The Biden administration will almost certainly be obliged to offer more to the Marshallese, which will add to the costs of its Pacific program when talks finally get underway.
In the current context, the tiny island nation finds itself with more influence than it might otherwise have had. How it deploys this opportunity is not without regional implications.